Friday, June 26, 2009

Political Calculations of ENDA

218 votes are needed for passage of ENDA in the House. There are 197 probable yes votes now, according to my calculations. That means unless another 25 come through, ENDA would not pass. However, there are 50 House Democrats are unconfirmed on ENDA (the Employment Non-Discrimination Act, H.R. 3017). There are a number of Republicans who are unconfirmed as well, but few of them are expected to come out publicly for ENDA, though they may vote for it if and when it goes to the House floor.

Where Are These Unconfirmed Legislators?
The largest number of unconfirmed Dems are in the state of Pennsylvania, with 5 unconfirmed Democrats. These are Kathy Dahlkemper, Jason Altmire, Christopher P. Carney, Paul E. Kanjorski and John Murtha. (You can click on the links to email them, though some only accept emails from their own constituents.)

Virginia also has 5 unconfirmed Democrats: Glenn Nye, Robert C. Scott, Tom Perriello, Rick Boucher , and Gerry Connolly Next comes Illinois, with 4 (Bobby L. Rush, Dan Lipinski, Debbie Halvorson, and Jerry F. Costello

New York also has 4: Michael E. McMahon, Scott Murphy, Paul D. Tonko, and Dan Maffei.



Texas has 4: Al Green Solomon P. Ortiz Henry Cuellar and Gene Green

There are also a number of unconfirmed Democrats in other states all over the US. They are: Bobby Bright (AL), Parker Griffith (AL), Vic Snyder (AR), Dennis Cardoza (CA), Sanford Bishop (GA), David Scott (GA), Walt Minnick (ID), Peter Visclosky (IN), Joe Donnelly (IN), Brad Ellsworth (IN), Ben Chandler (KY), Frank Kratovil (MD), Dutch Ruppersburger (MD), Bart Stupak (MI), Mark Schauer (MI), Travis Childers (MS), Bennie Thompson (MS), Dina Titus (NV), Earl Pomeroy (ND), Dan Boren (OK), John Spratt (SC), Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (SD), Alan Mollohan (WV), Ron Kind (WI), and David Obey (WI).

These 50 legislators hold the key to moving ENDA through the US House of Representatives.